If The QQQQ Closes The Week Above 27.63 It Would Be A Confirmation Of Higher Prices

Figure 1 is a weekly chart of the PowerShares QQQ Trust (QQQQ). This is our proxy for the NASDAQ 100. “Tech” continues to be our relative out performer. Last week, the QQQQ’s broke below the key support level at 27.63 and fell out of the channel, and my expectation was for an acceleration of prices lower. 27.63 becomes resistance.

Figure 1. QQQQ/ weekly

But then there was this sentiment thing that got in the way. No problem. Yesterday’s reversal is constructive, but a weekly close above 27.63 would provide confirmation of higher prices.

Figure 2 is a weekly chart of the i-Shares MSCI Emerging Market Index (EEM). EEM is one of the few ETF’s forming a nice base. First off, EEM did not violate the quarter 4, 2008 lows at 20.45. This is our support level, and any weekly close below 20.45 would be an ominous sign. The initial upside is 25.50.

Figure 2. EEM/ weekly

Figure 3 is a weekly chart of the i-Shares MSCI Brazil Index Fund (EWZ). The breakdown of 4 weeks ago (red down arrows on chart) is this week’s re-test. A weekly close above 36.50 would reverse this breakdown and lead to higher prices. In all likelihood, EWZ remains in the “box” (i.e., range) with the quarter 4, 2008 lows on the downside and early February, 2009 highs on the upside.

Figure 3. EWZ/ weekly

Figure 4 is a weekly chart of the i-Shares Dow Jones REIT Trust Index (IYR). The breakdown of 4 weeks ago (red down arrows on chart) is this week’s re-test. A weekly close greater than 26.78 (resistance) would be constructive.

Figure 4. IYR/ weekly

Figure 5 is a weekly chart of the i-Shares MSCI EAFE Index Trust (EFA). This ETF represents developed countries in Europe, Asia and the Far East. EFA remains in a down trend, and yesterday’s bounce appears to be nothing more than noise at this point in time.

Figure 5. EFA/ weekly

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