Losses In The Stock Market: How To Rebuild Your Wealth
By Aaron Katsman on January 22, 2009 | More Posts By Aaron Katsman | Author's Website
Over the past 14 months, drastic market falls have caused many investors to lose significant portions of their savings. The U.S. market has fallen by more than 40%, while international markets are down by 60% or more in many cases. At the same time, real-estate prices are falling, even in Israel, and there is no doubt that investor confidence has been severely shaken.
In this scenario, one of the questions that I am most frequently asked is, “How do I make my money back?” My answer to this question is simple - don’t try to make your money back. If you try, chances are that you are going to take unnecessary risks and end up losing even more money. For this reason, the best advice may not be something that many investors want to hear. It is probably better to forget about the past and concentrate on the future. While the markets are getting hammered, stocks are selling at a discount. Although no one can predict when the market will hit bottom, buying at a 40% off discount is something that rarely happens.
Asset Allocation
Creating your asset allocation, or the mix of stocks, bonds and cash in your portfolio, is the single most important task that an investor has to face. Many studies have shown that the proportion of stocks, bonds and cash held in a portfolio has a greater effect on its returns and volatility than the individual investments that are chosen.
That is why after assessing one’s investment goals, it’s of the utmost importance to create an allocation that can help you achieve the aforementioned goals. Once you have fixed your asset allocation, you can start considering what to buy. “Be greedy when others are fearful,” is one of investor extraordinaire Warren Buffet’s favorite sayings. Many economists believe that the United States is in the midst of a recession. While this does not sound good, there may be a silver lining for investors. Though you need to always remember that past performance is no guarantee of future returns, consider this:
According to a report in Smart Money, “Stocks tend to rebound before the economy does. Over the past nine recessions, the S&P 500 (^GSPC) has gained an average 13% during the second half of the downturns and another 13% the year after they ended. Even during the Great Depression, the S&P rose 33% from the market’s trough to the end of the recession. And while it’s folly to try to predict a bottom, with the market down 40% from its 2007 high, it may not be far away.”
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