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Dave Fry

Wednesday’s ETF Recap

By Dave Fry on January 8, 2009 | More Posts By Dave Fry | Author's Website

The McClellan Oscillator was sending a warning to investors this past week as it hit a contemporary high record. This is why we had such timid positions. So we lost substantial amounts in some individual positions but overall gave back only about 1%.

As much as you want to jump in with both feet you have to pay attention to these kinds of warnings and keep most of your powder dry. Hence, we still had over 80-90% in cash.

Volume is roughly the same as yesterday while breadth of course reversed course.

Then the WSJ reports volume and breadth here.

And, on cue, our man David Hurwitz chimes in with his data from the ski slopes of Geneva.

I think our trusty McClellan Oscillator kept us out of serious trouble so far. It’s still in overbought territory and where we go from here is anyone’s guess. We don’t like losing money even on small positions so I regret, so far anyway, putting anything on.

I did write a commentary last night but screwed the uploading par sufficiently so that it was lost. Rather than writing it all over again or throwing the PC out the window, I had a drink instead. It’s the only sensible thing to do in such a circumstance. And, no, there’s no Sacred Cow for that but I may conjure up one.

Disclaimer: Among other issues the ETF Digest maintains positions in: GLD, XLE, DBA, EWY, EWJ and FXI.

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