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Dave Fry

ETF Wrap-Up: We’re Going Through A Crash, If Only In Slow Motion

By Dave Fry on November 21, 2008 | More Posts By Dave Fry | Author's Website

I thought we were dangerously on a cliff a few days ago and now we’ve been pushed off.

There could be more trouble as an institution like Citigroup (C) below $5 must be sold by institutions prohibited from owning stocks below that price. Alwaleed, the wealthy Saudi who owned 4% of the stock, said he was upping his ownership to 5% today. Perhaps someone tapped him on the shoulder and told him to do that to prevent more selling. Obviously the Big Three auto companies are no longer in the books of those institutions barred from owning sub $5 stocks. Alcoa (AA) is closing in on $5 as well.

We’re going through a crash if only in slow motion. Everything the government has done has only prolonged the death spiral. Bernanke is dusting off his Depression prevention studies, taking another look and perhaps tweaking his models.

Volume increased today and breadth probably put in another negative 90/10 day. And, just as I wrote that subscriber and blog reader David Hurwitz vacationing in Geneva sent me the updated market internals. He needs to relax and have some fun but we thank him.

I’m not going to bother today posting a dozen charts on US sectors since they look the same one to another. If you wish yesterday we highlighted many and you can just add another 3-7% to the down leg.

We’re oversold but it seems not to matter. They’re just tossing them out the window and trying to get to where we are–the sidelines.

Tomorrow (Friday) is options expiration and I fully expect some serious gyrations as those on the floor will hunt down strike prices like heat seeking missiles.

The commentary is deliberately brief as conditions don’t require much amplification from me.

Bulls are hoping for capitulation and it will come at some point but when? Tomorrow? A Black Monday? It’s all possible in this situation.

Have a pleasant day.

Disclaimer: The ETF Digest has no positions.

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