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John Lee

Wednesday: Trading Actions In The S&P 500 Index

By John Lee on November 5, 2008 | More Posts By John Lee | Author's Website

Well, I was in majority cash yesterday (Tuesday) so I didn’t feel the bite. I’m ready to go long again once we hit the 20-day SMA. Any break from that level, then it’s 100% short for me. We gapped down today, but it was only -100 pts on the Dow (^DJI), initially, and the fact that we weren’t able to fill the gap in the first 30 mins was a big warning sign. I asked my coaching students to stay in cash this morning and for good reason - the market appeared weak and needed a rest. That doesn’t sound too technical, but that’s how it was and you can call it whatever you like.

The major break came at around 982-983 on the S&P 500 (^GSPC). After that, we formed a bearish continuation flag for 4 hours until we once again broke down. The people holding here are the ones that only “hope”, but it doesn’t make sense to “hope” when you’re in a bearish continuation pattern, does it? Then, the market sold off rapidly in the last hour of trading. No one should be surprised about that - we were already in a downtrend since the beginning of the day.

Tomorrow (Thursday), pay attention to all the short-term 20-day SMA support levels. It may be an opportunity to buy up, or in case of failure, to short like crazy. We have a slew of economic reports, so keep your eyes on those.

SPX 1-day

SPX 3-day

SPX 10-day

SPX 6-month

Posted in Categories: Contributor, External Research, Stocks, USA.

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