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Dave Fry

Investors Seemed To Like Merrill’s Losses

By Dave Fry on July 30, 2008 | More Posts By Dave Fry | Author's Website

I was watching NASDAQ futures most of the day and the action there occurred between 9:45 and 11 AM. It was a classic “ramp and camp” affair.

Investors seemed to like all the losses Merrill Lynch was taking in a perverse way with the thinking being–“Okay, they’re finally throwing them up…literally. No more hiding their putrid assets!” You buying this? Bulls were today and I’m not smart enough to know if they’re right “this time”.

Perhaps even more important for the rally was the continuing decline in oil prices.

Take your pick.

For yucks, let’s look at the Yahoo/Finance data today. They have everything with the NYSE backwards. Pretty funny but I’ll post the WSJ data which by the way doesn’t include third market activity which is growing.

Meanwhile, back in the ICU, the patients are showing some vital signs. We’ve seen this before but what Merrill Lynch did today convinced many that financial companies are “coming clean”. To bulls and bottom pickers this means more companies will have to follow suit and that means the worst is over. That’s just what table-pounding bulls are thinking.

Let’s look around at some other sectors for a change.

One day down over 200 and the next up over 200. The average investor doesn’t like this kind of action. It’s a turnoff. But, as I’ve been saying the markets are firmly in the hands of professionals whether the government, trading desks, hedge funds and even SWFs. It’s a David vs Goliath battle for retail investors so be careful.

Tomorrow we get more from energy with inventory data and who knows what else in that department from Iran to Nigeria. So far the hurricane season has been relatively quiet.

Let’s see if bulls or bears can put a few days together.

Have a pleasant evening.

Disclaimer: Among other issues the ETF Digest maintains long or short positions in: MZZ, IWM, TWM, QQQQ, QID, SMN, IEF, PST, DBC, DEE, USO, EFA, EFU, EEM, EEV, EWZ and RSX.

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