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14:35 GMT
22
Oct 2009

Leading Indicators Index Increases For Sixth Straight Month

(RTTNews) - Thursday morning, the Conference Board released its report on leading economic indicators in the month of September, showing that its leading indicators index increased by more than economists had been expecting.

The report showed that the leading economic index rose 1.0 percent in September following a revised 0.4 percent increase in August. Economists had expected the index to increase by 0.8 percent compared to the 0.6 percent increase originally reported for the previous month.

With the bigger than expected increase, the index rose for the sixth consecutive month, boosting the six-month growth rate to its highest pace since 1983.

The continued increase by the index reflected positive contributions from eight of the ten indicators, including the interest rate spread, consumer expectations, initial jobless claims, stock prices, real money supply, and money performance.

Average weekly manufacturing hours and building permits were the only two negative contributors to the index.

The Conference Board also said its coincident economic index was unchanged in September following a 0.1 percent increase in August. A continued drop in employment offset a continued increase in industrial production.

At the same time, the lagging economic index fell 0.3 percent in September after falling by 0.2 percent in the previous month. The decrease was partly due to negative contributions from commercial and industrial loans outstanding and the average duration of unemployment.

Ken Goldstein, Economist at the Conference Board said, “The LEI has risen for six consecutive months and the coincident economic index has increased in two of the last three months.”

“These numbers strongly suggest that a recovery is developing,” he added. “However, the intensity of that recovery will depend on how much, and how soon, demand picks up.”

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Posted in Categories: Economy, Forex, Releases, USA.

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