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US Dollar Rallies On Worse Than Expected U.S. Non-Farm Payroll Report

By BrewerFX on October 2, 2009 | More Posts By BrewerFX | Author's Website

The U.S. Non-Farm Payroll Report came out worse than expected. Traders were looking for a loss of between 175,000 and 225,000 jobs. The actual number showed a loss of 263,000 jobs. The biggest job losses occurred in construction, manufacturing, retail and the government. Healthcare was positive.

The U.S. Dollar is gaining ground against major currencies except the Japanese Yen. Investors are looking at this report as a sign that the government stimulus plan may not be working. Traders are keeping away from higher yielding assets and seeking the safety of the Dollar.

The Dollar is posting its strongest gains versus the British Pound and the Canadian Dollar. The main trend is down in the GBP USD and traders expect this currency pair to reach 1.5200 before strong buyers step in. The charts indicate plenty of room to the downside. Lower equity and crude oil markets are helping to pressure the Canadian Dollar and boost the USD CAD.

The Euro is also down sharply. Traders are saying that government stimulus is not working and staying away from the more risky assets. The perception is that if the U.S. economy is not on track to recovery then the Euro Zone is not going to improve.

Higher yielding assets like the AUD USD and NZD USD are also under pressure. With these two markets still near their highs for the year, traders believe that its time to book some of the lofty profits that have occurred during the recent six month run-up.

The Dollar is trading lower against the Japanese Yen and Swiss Franc. This could be traders seeking safety in these two currencies.

Traders should not expect the Dollar to go straight up today, but instead should watch for steady upside pressure. Volatility could be high and there may be some violent counter-trend knee-jerk reactions throughout the day.

DISCLAIMER: Forex (off-exchange foreign currency futures and options or FX) trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for every investor. The value of currencies may fluctuate and investors may lose all or more than their original investments. Risks also include, but are not limited to, the potential for changing political and/or economic conditions that may substantially affect the price and/or liquidity of a currency. The impact of seasonal and geopolitical events is already factored into market prices. Prices in the underlying cash or physical markets do not necessarily move in tandem with futures and options prices. The leveraged nature of FX trading means that any market movement will have an equally proportional effect on your deposited funds and such may work against you as well as for you. In no event should the content of this correspondence be construed as an express or implied promise or guarantee from B.I.G. Forex, LLC and Brewer Investment Group, LLC or its subsidiaries and/or affiliates that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Loss-limiting strategies such as stop loss orders may not be effective because market conditions may make it impossible to execute such orders. Likewise, strategies using combinations of positions such as "spread" or "straddle" trades may be just as risky as simple long and short positions. Past results are no indication of future performance. Information contained in this correspondence is intended for informational purposes only and was obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted.

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