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Simit Patel

Get Ready, Breakout Traders: AUD/USD Is Consolidating

By Simit Patel on December 31, 2008 | More Posts By Simit Patel | Author's Website

Through the end of 2012, I am one of those expecting a shift in economic power from Western economies (namely the US) to Eastern economies (China, Japan, etc). In particular, Australia, as a producer and exporter of precious metals - which stand to rise when fiat currencies are troubled - and commodities as well, may find its currency in greater demand.

So is it time to buy the Australian dollar? Let’s take a look at the price chart to get an idea if now is the time.

After being in a strong bear market since August 2008, the Australian dollar is now rallying. It is currently forming an ascending triangle/rising wedge pattern, as the chart above illustrates. The hourly and weekly chart also show consolidation, suggesting the market may be ready for a breakout.

For US stock market traders, CurrencyShares Australian Dollar Trust (FXA) is an ETF that tracks the Australian dollar.

Disclosure: Long Australian Dollar.

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HEADLINES
UPCOMING EVENTS
In 1 day: AUD New Motor Vehicle Sales (MoM) (FEB)
In 1 day: AUD New Motor Vehicle Sales (YoY) (FEB)
In 1 day: CHF Money Supply M3 (YoY) (FEB)
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In 1 day: EUR Euro-Zone Consumer Confidence (MAR A)
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