Danger Zone

New York London GMT Tokyo Singapore

By Grace Cheng on August 22, 2006 | More Posts By Grace Cheng | Author's Website

EUR/USD’s 1.2900 - 1.3000 is fraught with danger, and is a favourite place for market-makers and hedge funds to trip stops. Yesterday, EUR/USD broke above 1.2911, hit a high of 1.2938, and then came tumbling down. In such an environment, it may be better to fade, rather than trade breakouts. If we look at the daily chart of USD/CHF, we see that USD/CHF completed the second shoulder of the H&S, and then bounced up. If …

USD/CHF breaks below yesterday’s low of 1.2182, I’m expecting it to bounce off around 1.2137, just when EUR/USD approaches 1.2979 profit-taking level. Thereafter, I think Euro will have a hard time sustaining the rally.

Today we’ll have German Zew survey at 0900 GMT, Canadian CPI at 1100 GMT and Fed officials speaking about economy at 1640 GMT (Atlanta’s Guynn, FOMO voting member is speaking) and 1700 GMT (Moskow speaking). Zew figures are likely to weigh on the Euro.

Looking ahead, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke will speak at the Fed Symposium in Wyoming on Friday. What this means is that Euro is even more unlikely to sustain a breakout between and above 1.2938 and 1.2979. The market is now preparing for any hawkish comments that may come from Bernanke regarding the economy or interest rates. The sentiment right now is still about uncertainty.

Check Out These Related Posts:

If you like this article please...

Subscribe by RSS Subscribe by Email

Email This Post To A Friend

Recent News:

Stocks May Open Notably Higher Amid Weakening Dollar - U.S. Commentary - 3 mins ago
*Canadian Retail Sales Rose 1.0% In September - 25 mins ago
Hungary Nov. Economic Sentiment Index Drops - GKI - 26 mins ago
U.S. Growth Outlook Raised, Dollar To Weaken Further In 2010 - Survey - 45 mins ago
*Hungary Central Bank Cuts Key Policy Rate By 50 Bps To 6.5% - 54 mins ago

Opinions From Our Contributors

Commodities China Owns The Heavy Stone Has Gold Just Broken Out Of Its Trend Channel? The Dirty Little Secrets Of Warrants, Options & LEAPS Interesting Articles To Read The Forgotten Commodity - Rice Commodity Investing: ETFs Or Mutual Funds? John Paulson Launching A Gold Fund With $250M Of His Own Money Profit From The Falling Dollar With ETFs Wheat Playing Catch-Up As Commodities Rally Regulators And Commodity ETFs: Why They’re Evolving Read More »	Financials Financial ETFs Still Remain Vulnerable Ron Paul Thinks That Fed “Oversight Is Laughable” Buffett Borrows For Rail Acquisition Investment Ideas: Here Are 3 Dirt Cheap Stocks Treasury To Auction TARP Warrants Dear Reader, We Cannot Criticize Goldman Sachs. Instead, We Admire It 2010 Outlook For The US Banking Industry Get Rid Of Your General Electric Shares Tufts Endowment And Risk Taking? Regional Bank ETFs: The Bad And The Good Read More »	Exchange Traded Funds Biggest Gainer ETFs For The Week Ended 22 Nov What You Should Know About Precious Metals ETFs And Taxes Main Street Vs. Wall Street: Using ETFs To Capitalize Why You Should Watch This Leisure & Entertainment ETF Biotech Investing: Spread Your Risks With ETFs Are You Going For Yield With Your ETFs? Rydex Market Timers: At It Again Is An Asset Bubble Forming In Hong Kong’s ETF? Senior Secured Floating Rate Bonds: The Best Investments To Own When Interest Rates Rise Why Gold Will Surge To A Record $2,000 In 2010 Read More »
Stocks Stock Investor Sentiment: Will This Week Be Another Repeat Of The Last Two? How Does Volatility Affect Stock Options? There Is A Considerable Gap Between What The Fed’s Saying And What It’s Thinking S&P 500 Flat Over The Week As Investors Reflect On Prices Versus Fundamentals Singapore Stock Market Update: Focus On Blue Chips I’ve Noticed A Profitable Pattern Stock Picks For Monday: Nanometrics, Melco Crown Entertainment, MetroPCS Communications And Cell Therapeutics S&P 500 Index Is Still Overvalued This Small Oil Exploration Company Is Ripe For A Takeover… Here’s How To Profit 3 Steps To Becoming A More Successful Trader Read More »	Forex Alternatives To The US Dollar As The World’s Reserve Currency British Pound Retracing Friday’s Slide Against The US Dollar Month To Date Review Of The Market One Reason Why The US Dollar Might Rise Forex Wrap-up: A Massive Short-Covering Rally In The US Dollar May Just Be Starting Australian Dollar: Caution Canadian Dollar: Caution “Audit The Fed” Bill Moves Along USD/JPY Pushing Against The 100 Hour Moving Average At 89.11 Swiss Franc: The Downside Prevails Read More »	Economy Should A House Be Treated As A Great Investment? Economic, News And US Earnings Reports For The Week Nov 23 - 27 Spitting On The Boomers’ Financial Legacy The Economists Are Wrong Again What’s Triggering America’s Populist Rage? China Will Blow Up Before It Grows Up Contrary To Conventional Wisdom, When China Drops Its Currency Peg, The Immediate Benefits Will Flow To The Chinese, Not Americans Societe Generale Tells Investors How To Prepare For Potential “Global Collapse” Obama Commits To Free Trade Agreement With South Korea, But Auto Trade Remains An Obstacle Exponential Growth, Finite World Read More »