Michael Panzner

Not Coming Back

By Michael Panzner on | More Posts By | Author's Website

The “Money” section of USA Today has a cover story by Adam Shell, “Could Investors Fleeing Stocks Become a Lost Generation?” featuring insights from yours truly. Among other things, I argue that “the lost generation is not coming back” and highlight several reasons why the average Joe may well be on the right side of what I believe is the longer-term trend:

  • Investors are trying to make sense of an unprecedented economic earthquake that has left them feeling blindsided and unsure about their economic futures like never before. Nearly 15 million are unemployed, and many have seen the value of their homes — typically their biggest investment — crater.
  • There is a feeling among investors, Panzner says, that the investment “game is rigged” in favor of professional traders and money managers. The belief that the playing field is not level has created intense feelings of animosity toward Wall Street.
  • The aging of the Baby Boomers has created a demographic headwind for the stock market.
    “More people will be looking to draw down their savings,” Panzner says. “As people get older, they will want to take less risk and protect their nest eggs.”

Some contrarians might say it’s a bullish sign that a mass market daily is playing up the bearish case. Maybe. But given that Wall Street still seems to think that it’s business as usual and that things are in relatively good shape — which most clear-headed individuals know is not true — maybe the greater fools this time around are those they see when they look in the mirror.

Recent Articles By Michael Panzner:

2 Comments :

Comment by Bob
2010-09-03 02:06:32

I have been saying this since the crash and the pro’s are only fooling themselves with this trading range they are in, it is really a casino now and they are in it to play with and for themselves. The money that is on the sidelines is also not coming back. ETF’s, propriety trading, high frequency trading et el will certainly do no good to the market unless rules are put into place to make the market what it was meant to be, companies vying for shareholders based on fundamentals and not 98% of the market up and then vice versa to the downside. If a company has good fundamentals why does it have to fall with the rest based on bad economic news? ETF’s especially do no good for anyone but day traders and high frequency trading making pennies but millions for those in the know. This is pure gambling and Wall Street has not learned its lessons from the past. Shorting the market has become an art as well and serves no purpose at all, not like in the past. Too much emphasis is placed on bad weather for oil and politics for the market to move as well. Katrina happenedm let it go and put the price of oil down where it belongs, not a money maker for just a privileged few, driving up the price of goods for consumers.

Comment by jim corbett
2010-09-03 05:10:13

Absolutely right mate. I am a small time private trader, dealing with my own money. It is very difficult to make any money with the market fluctuating all over the place on any old news whatsoever. Most of the so called news that moves the markets is spurious crap, aiming to cause panic and the markets to drop. Then a piece of news which was disregarded last week sends the markets up again, only to plummet for practically no reason at all.It’s as contrived as hell, with only the big shorters and organisation with their multi-million dollar computers that can re-act quickly enough to the change making any money.
I used to buy what I thought were good companies, but now everything moves in the same direction, good or bad.
The business had become very biased towards the big boys.
It’s a shame. Investing used to be fun.

 
 
Name (required)
E-mail (required - never shown publicly)
Your Comment (smaller size | larger size)
*/ ?>