Long-Term US Interest Rates Suggest Low Inflation?
By Mark Perry on October 19, 2009 | More Posts By Mark Perry | Author's Website
30-Year Conventional Mortgage Rates, 1971-2009: 
30-year Treasury bond yields, 1977-2009:
AAA Corporate 30-year Bond Yields, 1962-2009:

Baa Corporate 30-year Bond Yields, 1962-2009:

Prime rate, 1955-2009:

In a previous post, I suggested that historically low 30-year mortgage rates reflected relatively low market expectations of future inflation. Some commenters (and Robert Shiller this afternoon on CNBC) pointed out that the Fed is buying mortgage securities, which is temporarily keeping 30-mortgage rates low, rather than low inflation expectations keeping rates low.
But the charts above that other long-term rates (30-year Treasury bond, 30-year AAA corporates and 30-year Baa corporates) are historically low, as well as the prime rate being historically low, and these low rates wouldn’t necessarily have anything to do with Fed purchases.
Question: How could all of these long-term rates be so low if there were inflationary pressures building up in the economy, which would lead to higher expected future inflation, and higher nominal long-term interest rates, and not historically low long-term rates?
Forex Trading: USDJPY Looking To Test The 100 Hour MA
Unisys Revenues Lower
The “Second Round Of Pain”
Principal Financial Misses
Synopsys To Acquire CoWare
Stocks Hovering Near Highs In Mid-Afternoon Trading - U.S. Commentary - 1 hr ago
European Markets Rise, Led By Banks, Miners - European Commentary - 1 hr ago
TSX Jumps On Greece Rescue Rumors - 1 hr ago
Stocks Building On Strong Gains In Early Afternoon Trading - U.S. Commentary - 3 hrs ago
Bernanke Hearing Postponed Due To Weather - 3 hrs ago

