Inflation Expectations Plunge By 2% In 4 Months

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Inflation Expectations Plunge By 2% In 4 Months

By Mark Perry on October 24, 2008 | More Posts By Mark Perry | Author's Website

The chart above shows the market-based 10-year TIPS-derived expected inflation from the Cleveland Fed, calculated from the difference between 10-year nominal treasury notes and 10-year treasury inflation-protected securities. On an adjusted basis (for an inflation-risk and liquidity premiums, see details here), inflation expectations fell to a six-year low of 1.44% yesterday, the lowest since September of 2002.

This is a huge drop in inflation expectations from 3.36% in June to only 1.44% today (Thursday). Inflationary pressure is easing and deflating fast.

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