Interesting Elliott Wave Count In Feeder Cattle
By Corey Rosenbloom on January 10, 2009 | More Posts By Corey Rosenbloom | Author's Website
I know - who trades Feeder Cattle? While browsing various commodities, I came across what appeared to be a rather ideal example of the Elliott Wave principle playing out in @FC Feeder Cattle futures contracts and I wanted to show you the pattern - if you want, you can pretend it’s a stock or index that is setting up this pattern.
Feeder Cattle Daily Futures Contract:
You can click for a larger image. And I also want to note that the circled “1″ and “2″ may also be interpreted as Corrective Waves “A” and “B” respectively of a larger Zig-Zag pattern that either has completed or has one more leg left to complete, depending on your analysis.
More than try to forecast cattle prices, the point of this post is to show you my interpretation of a textbook Elliott Pattern that has internally valid fractal wave counts.
In other words, notice how the Wave 1 structure has subdivided into 5 waves of its own, and within each of those fractal waves, we see the corresponding 5 or 3 wave pattern described by the Elliott texts that has occurred since last year - it’s an interesting and informative way in my opinion to bring the Elliott Principle to life through current examples.
The Second Wave also subdivided into its expected “ABC” Waves, which also subdivided as expected (though I divided the final C wave of 2 into a triangle).
We’ve launched now into the 3rd wave which is subdividing, but the only concern is that the 4th wave traveled into the price territory of the 1st wave, so we could have a complex correction setting up currently - but again that is not the point of this article.
Stepping outside the Elliott world for a moment - notice the whole structure shown on the chart is a massive “Measured Move” or Bear Flag.
The Elliott Wave Principle states that waves subdivide into the lower degree and those fractal waves also have internally valid (complete) Elliott Wave patterns - I believe the recent action in Cattle Futures - as esoteric as they may be - are showing a clean Elliott Wave Pattern example and I thought that was rather interesting.
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